The debate over the stimulus packages has ignited a storm of coverage of Keynesian theory, that a substantial government investment in the economy can pull a country out of recession. The proposed $700 billion plus offers that are on the table may have a short-term benefit, but ultimately it’s a sugar high.
The overarching mentality is the belief that more money in the system will grease the skids for spending and investment. This may be true in its limited scope, but there are multiple “skids,” per se. Perhaps thousands. And some skids are more effective than others when greased.
The great hope is that an abundance of money will begin to exhaust all the pent up demand in the system. This onslaught of demand will lead to job creation, because somebody needs to design, build, ship and sell all the things so many of us want but are reluctant to buy.
It makes sense that this increase in demand would require increased investment, even if investment always precedes manufacturing.
However, even if there is an aggregate increase in manufacturing, we forget that our manufacturing base has been exported, resulting in a significant drop in wages. The increase in productivity, brought on by the whirlwind support for cheap manufacturing labor in slave states around the world, has not been matched by a similar increase in wages. Wages equal purchasing power.
With diminished purchasing power in America, there is only one way to fulfill the demand – subsidies. And That’s what the stimulus package is.
But it doesn’t subsidize the masses. Rather, it subsidizes the capitalists whose productivity, meaning profits, have risen at a rate greater than wages. This system is all about perpetuating a ruling class.
When you give money to the working poor and tell them to go spend, you’re essentially giving clean syringes to the junkie. True you minimize the damage, but you don’t fix the underlying issue.
More than a trillion dollars have been committed since the fall of 2008 to remedy the nation’s economic troubles. This is quite possibly a part of the price tag of neoconservative economics. Just tack it on to the $12 trillion we’re already in debt and then we will know the value of Milton Friedman’s legacy.
This is primarily a monetary crisis, but it’s the result of awful fiscal policy. Too often we have been willing to allow our manufacturing base to slip away. Politically we’ve been too afraid to stop investing in things that do nothing except destroy.
There’s a bitter pill to swallow in a crisis like this one. The proven answer is perceived as being so politically unpopular, nearly all who have any authority in the matter would balk because they believe they’d be cannibalizing their own careers. But it’s a twofold solution that is the mirror opposite of a stimulus package.
It requires decreased government spending and moving the manufacturing base back home. By rightsizing our federal budget, we can begin to set a more realistic value on our currency. Furthermore, by going protectionist with our labor market, we can begin to ensure there will be purchasing power for all the goods and services produced within our borders.
Often we fail to acknowledge that economies are closed, self-correcting systems. Granted there will always be outside influences, and there will always be a necessary amount of importing and exporting. But like any system, economies correct themselves much easier when there are fewer external factors.
So with possibly thousands of factors at play, the stimulus swindle of 2009 must grease the proper skids if it will be effective. Specifically it must address wages and earning power in the long run.